🛢️ Part of our Oil & Gas Industry Training Series — browse all related courses →
About This Course
The oil and gas industry demands financial models that are far more complex than those used in most other sectors. A single upstream development project may span decades, involve multi-billion-dollar capital commitments, operate under production-sharing contracts or royalty-tax regimes, and be exposed to volatile commodity prices, reserve uncertainty, and shifting fiscal environments. The ability to translate these variables into a coherent, decision-ready financial model is one of the most valued skills in the energy finance profession.
This ten-day programme by TrainingComplex is designed to take participants from foundational principles to advanced model architecture. Starting with the economics of the oil and gas value chain and the mechanics of reserves and production profiling, the course progressively builds toward fully integrated project finance models, sensitivity analyses, and Monte Carlo simulations. Every module is anchored in practical, spreadsheet-based work so that participants leave with models they have built themselves and can immediately adapt to their own projects.
The programme addresses all three segments of the industry. Upstream participants will master exploration and production economics, production-sharing contracts, and reserves-based lending structures. Midstream and downstream professionals will learn to model pipeline tariff economics, refinery margin analysis, and LNG project cash flows. Throughout, the course maintains a strong emphasis on model governance — structuring, auditing, and stress-testing models to meet the standards expected by lenders, equity investors, and regulatory bodies.
By the end of the course, participants will possess a portfolio of sector-specific model templates and the analytical confidence to lead financial modelling workstreams within their organisations.
Who Should Attend
- Financial analysts and senior accountants working in oil and gas companies
- Project finance bankers and investment analysts covering the energy sector
- Corporate finance managers in national oil companies and IOCs
- E&P engineers and reservoir engineers who interact with finance teams
- Strategic planning and business development professionals in energy firms
- Government officials and regulators responsible for petroleum fiscal policy
- Consultants advising on energy project transactions and valuations
- Fund managers and private equity analysts with energy sector exposure
Learning Objectives
- Understand the oil and gas value chain and the key economic drivers at each segment
- Build dynamic production profiles linked to reservoir and decline-curve assumptions
- Construct detailed capital expenditure and operating cost models for E&P projects
- Model production-sharing contracts, royalty-tax regimes, and carried-interest structures
- Develop fully integrated three-statement financial models for oil and gas projects
- Apply discounted cash flow, NPV, and IRR analysis within an energy project context
- Build reserves-based lending and project finance debt-structuring models
- Conduct rigorous sensitivity, scenario, and break-even analysis on commodity prices and costs
- Apply Monte Carlo simulation to quantify and communicate reserve and price uncertainty
- Model LNG, midstream pipeline, and downstream refinery economics
- Audit, stress-test, and present financial models to investment committees and lenders
- Apply best-practice model governance, version control, and documentation standards
- Interpret fiscal regime changes and translate their impact into model outputs
Course Modules
Module 1: The Oil and Gas Value Chain and Project Economics
- Upstream, midstream, and downstream segments and their economic characteristics
- Key cost and revenue drivers across the E&P life cycle
- Industry terminology: BOE, WTI, Brent, netback, lifting cost, finding cost
- Overview of fiscal regimes: royalty-tax, production-sharing, and service contracts
- How capital intensity and risk profile differ across value chain segments and project phases
- Breakeven oil price analysis as a lens for comparing project economics across regimes and geographies
Module 2: Reserves, Resources, and Production Profiling
- SEC and SPE-PRMS reserves classification frameworks
- Decline curve analysis: exponential, hyperbolic, and harmonic methods
- Building a dynamic production schedule linked to reserve estimates
- Translating reservoir engineering outputs into financial model inputs
- Modelling plateau rate determination, ramp-up duration, and tail production assumptions
- Handling contingent and prospective resources in probabilistic production forecasts
Module 3: Capital Expenditure Modelling for E&P Projects
- Exploration, appraisal, development, and abandonment cost structures
- Building a phased CAPEX schedule with escalation and contingency
- Modelling drilling programmes: well count, cost per well, and timing
- Abandonment and decommissioning liability provisions and discounting
- Treatment of pre-FID costs: capitalisation versus expensing under IFRS 6 and US GAAP
- Modelling CAPEX overrun scenarios and their impact on project IRR and debt service capacity
Module 4: Operating Cost and Revenue Modelling
- Fixed versus variable OPEX structures and their drivers in oil and gas
- Lifting cost benchmarking and field operating cost build-up
- Revenue modelling: price decks, quality differentials, and marketing costs
- Royalties, production taxes, and in-kind government takes
- Modelling tariff and transportation costs including pipeline access fees and shipping netbacks
- Operating cost escalation assumptions: inflation indexing and labour cost escalation in frontier markets
Module 5: Production-Sharing Contracts and Fiscal Regime Modelling
- PSC mechanics: cost oil, profit oil, and government take calculation
- Modelling contractor and government share across multiple price scenarios
- Carried interest, back-in rights, and signature bonus treatment
- Comparative fiscal analysis: PSC versus royalty-tax regime NPV outcomes
- Modelling cost recovery limits and unrecovered cost carry-forward provisions
- Impact of ring-fencing rules on inter-field cost allocation and consolidated contractor returns
Module 6: Three-Statement Integrated Financial Model for E&P Projects
- Building a project-level income statement with depletion and DD&A
- Constructing the balance sheet with exploration assets and long-term debt
- Developing a direct and indirect cash flow statement for project finance
- Circularity management: interest on drawn debt and revolver mechanics
- Modelling deferred tax assets and liabilities arising from timing differences on CAPEX and cost recovery
- Linking the three statements dynamically so that production, price, and cost changes flow through consistently
Module 7: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation and Investment Metrics
- Selecting the appropriate discount rate: WACC, cost of equity, and country risk
- NPV, IRR, payback period, and profitability index in an E&P context
- Modelling EMV: risked NPV incorporating geological probability of success
- Comparative valuation: EV/EBITDA, EV/2P reserves, and NAV per share
- Handling multi-phase development options and the treatment of exploration upside in NAV build-ups
- Time-value sensitivities: the effect of project delay and schedule slippage on IRR and NPV
Module 8: Project Finance and Reserves-Based Lending Structures
- Project finance architecture: SPV structure, security package, and waterfall
- Reserves-based lending: borrowing base, redetermination, and repayment schedule
- Debt sizing using DSCR, LLCR, and PLCR coverage ratio constraints
- Modelling drawdown profiles, commitment fees, and hedging requirements
- Structuring the cash waterfall: operating costs, debt service, reserve accounts, and equity distributions
- Modelling semi-annual redetermination triggers and their impact on available liquidity and equity returns
Module 9: LNG and Midstream Project Financial Modelling
- LNG project economics: liquefaction cost, shipping, and regasification
- Modelling long-term offtake agreements and oil-indexed LNG price formulae
- Pipeline tariff economics: regulated asset base, WACC, and throughput risk
- Joint venture waterfall mechanics and carry financing in midstream assets
- LNG tolling versus integrated project structures: impact on revenue recognition and risk allocation
- Modelling volume shortfall penalties, force majeure provisions, and their cash flow consequences under offtake agreements
Module 10: Downstream and Refinery Margin Modelling
- Refinery configuration types and their impact on crude slate economics
- Modelling the crack spread and refinery margin under different crude prices
- Capacity utilisation, turnaround scheduling, and variable cost sensitivity
- Product yield optimisation and its financial impact on EBITDA
- Modelling feedstock cost differentials: sweet-sour and light-heavy crude spreads and their effect on refinery margins
- Integrating energy and utility cost assumptions into the refinery operating cost build-up
Module 11: Sensitivity, Scenario, and Break-Even Analysis
- Structuring a best-case, base-case, and downside scenario framework
- One-variable and two-variable data tables for commodity price and cost stress
- Break-even analysis: minimum oil price, minimum production rate, and maximum CAPEX
- Tornado chart construction and interpretation for executive presentations
- Dynamic scenario switching using named ranges and dropdown controls to facilitate live model interrogation
- Using spider diagrams to visualise relative sensitivity of NPV and IRR to individual input variables
Module 12: Monte Carlo Simulation and Probabilistic Risk Modelling
- Introduction to Monte Carlo simulation and probability distributions in Excel
- Defining input distributions for price, production, and cost variables
- Running simulations and interpreting P10/P50/P90 outcome distributions
- Presenting probabilistic results to investment committees and lenders
- Correlation modelling between input variables: avoiding underestimation of portfolio risk through independence assumptions
- Using simulation outputs to set contingency budgets, covenant headroom thresholds, and risk-adjusted hurdle rates
Module 13: Model Governance, Audit, and Investment Presentation
- Best-practice model structuring: separation of inputs, calculations, and outputs
- Model audit methodology: formula consistency, hard-coding checks, and error traps
- Version control, documentation standards, and assumption registers
- Presenting model outputs: executive summary dashboards and lender data books
- Building a change log and model sign-off protocol to satisfy lender technical advisor and auditor requirements
- Designing user-friendly assumption toggle sheets that allow non-modellers to run scenarios without accessing core calculation sheets
Requirements & Prerequisites
Participants should have a solid working knowledge of Microsoft Excel and be comfortable with basic spreadsheet formulas and functions. A foundational understanding of financial statements — income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement — is expected, ideally gained through at least two years of experience in finance, accounting, or a quantitative engineering role. Prior exposure to the oil and gas industry is beneficial but not mandatory, as the course opens with a comprehensive sector overview.
Training Methodology
- Guided Excel model-building sessions in which participants construct each model component from scratch using a structured template kit
- Case studies drawn from real upstream PSC negotiations, LNG final investment decisions, and pipeline project financings in Africa and the Middle East
- Reservoir decline-curve workshops linking petroleum engineering data to financial production schedules
- Debt-structuring simulations in which participant groups act as borrower and lender teams negotiating covenant packages
- Monte Carlo simulation exercises using Excel add-ins to quantify and present probabilistic project outcomes
- Fiscal regime comparison workshops analysing royalty-tax, production-sharing, and service-contract structures across multiple jurisdictions
- Model audit peer-review sessions where participants exchange and red-line each other's models against a structured checklist
- Group investment committee presentations in which participants defend their model assumptions and outputs to a panel
Organisational Benefits
- Improved quality and credibility of investment appraisals and project finance submissions
- Faster preparation of bankable feasibility studies and lender information packages
- Stronger in-house capability to challenge and validate third-party model assumptions
- More rigorous risk quantification leading to better capital allocation decisions
- Reduced reliance on external consultants for routine modelling and valuation work
- Enhanced ability to respond quickly to commodity price movements with pre-built scenario tools
- Greater alignment between technical reservoir data and financial planning processes
- Improved staff retention through investment in high-demand, specialist analytical skills
Where Is Financial Modeling for Oil and Gas Projects Training Offered?
This course runs in-person across: Nairobi, Kigali, Dubai, Abuja, Kampala, Arusha, Naivasha, Riyadh, Johannesburg, Cape Town, Mombasa, Dar es Salaam, Accra, Addis Ababa, Lagos, Pretoria, Kisumu, Zanzibar, Nakuru, plus Live Virtual (online) cohorts. Browse live dates for your city below.
Upcoming Schedules
| Location | Format | Dates | Price |
| Nairobi, Kenya |
In-Person |
5 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026 |
KES 230,000 |
| Kigali, Rwanda |
In-Person |
5 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026 |
USD 3,800 |
| Dubai, United Arab Emirates |
In-Person |
5 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026 |
USD 8,200 |
| Abuja, Nigeria |
In-Person |
5 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026 |
USD 5,600 |
| Kampala, Uganda |
In-Person |
12 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 |
USD 3,800 |
| Arusha, Tanzania |
In-Person |
12 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 |
USD 4,200 |
| Naivasha, Kenya |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
KES 230,000 |
| Riyadh, Saudi Arabia |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 |
USD 9,000 |
| Johannesburg, South Africa |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 |
USD 7,000 |
| Cape Town, South Africa |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 7,600 |
| Mombasa, Kenya |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 |
KES 240,000 |
| Dar es Salaam, Tanzania |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 |
USD 4,600 |
| Accra, Ghana |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 |
USD 7,600 |
| Addis Ababa, Ethiopia |
In-Person |
19 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 4,800 |
| Lagos, Nigeria |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026 |
USD 5,000 |
+234 more dates — view live schedule →
Frequently Asked Questions
Do I need prior oil and gas experience to attend this course?
No prior oil and gas experience is required. The first two modules provide a thorough introduction to the industry's value chain, terminology, and project economics, ensuring all participants can engage fully with subsequent modelling work regardless of their sector background.
What version of Excel is required, and are licences provided?
Participants should bring a laptop with Microsoft Excel 2016 or later installed, including Excel 365. A Monte Carlo add-in will be used in Module 12; installation instructions and a temporary licence will be provided by TrainingComplex before the programme begins.
Will participants receive model templates to take away?
Yes. Every model built during the course is yours to keep. You will leave with a full library of sector-specific Excel templates covering E&P project models, PSC calculators, reserves-based lending structures, LNG economics, and sensitivity dashboards — all ready to adapt to live transactions.
Is a certificate awarded on completion?
Participants who attend all sessions and complete the end-of-course model assessment receive a TrainingComplex Certificate of Completion in Financial Modelling for Oil and Gas Projects, which can be referenced on professional profiles and CVs.
Can this course be delivered as a private in-house programme for our organisation?
Absolutely. TrainingComplex regularly delivers customised in-house versions of this programme tailored to a specific company's asset portfolio, fiscal jurisdiction, or financial modelling standards. Contact our corporate training team to discuss scope, scheduling, and group pricing.
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