🏦 Part of our Banking & Financial Services Industry Training Series — browse all related courses →
About This Course
Credit risk remains the single largest source of financial loss for banks, development finance institutions, and corporate lenders worldwide. The accurate measurement of credit risk — and in particular the estimation of Loss Given Default (LGD) — sits at the heart of sound lending decisions, regulatory capital adequacy, and portfolio management strategy. As Basel III and IFRS 9 requirements continue to reshape risk frameworks across emerging and developed markets, demand for practitioners who can build, validate, and interpret LGD models has never been greater.
This five-day training programme offered by TrainingComplex provides a comprehensive, practitioner-oriented grounding in credit risk measurement, with a deep focus on LGD estimation methodologies. Participants will move from foundational concepts — the credit risk triangle of probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and exposure at default (EAD) — through to advanced model-building techniques, regulatory capital calculations under the Internal Ratings-Based (IRB) approach, and the treatment of collateral and recovery processes in LGD quantification.
The course is structured to balance conceptual rigour with practical application. Each module incorporates real-world data scenarios, worked calculation exercises, and case studies drawn from retail banking, corporate lending, and microfinance portfolios. Participants will leave equipped not only to understand LGD in theory, but to design, test, and challenge LGD models within their own institutions — satisfying both internal risk governance expectations and external regulatory scrutiny.
TrainingComplex's expert facilitators bring direct experience from banking supervision, credit portfolio management, and model validation, ensuring that every concept is anchored in current market practice and regulatory expectation.
Who Should Attend
- Credit risk analysts and senior credit officers in commercial and development banks
- Risk model developers and model validation specialists
- Financial controllers and CFOs responsible for IFRS 9 provisioning
- Bank examiners, prudential supervisors, and central bank staff
- Internal auditors reviewing credit risk frameworks and capital models
- Portfolio managers and treasury professionals managing credit-sensitive instruments
- Consultants and advisors supporting financial institutions on Basel compliance
- Microfinance institution (MFI) risk managers adapting LGD concepts to their portfolios
Learning Objectives
- Define the components of expected credit loss — PD, LGD, and EAD — and explain how each contributes to regulatory capital and provisioning calculations
- Distinguish between workout LGD, market LGD, and implied market LGD and select the appropriate methodology for different asset classes
- Build and calibrate LGD models using historical default and recovery data, applying regression and segmentation techniques
- Quantify the impact of collateral type, seniority, and recovery timing on LGD estimates, including discount rate selection for cash flow recovery models
- Apply downturn LGD adjustments in line with Basel III IRB requirements and explain the regulatory rationale for through-the-cycle versus point-in-time calibration
- Calculate risk-weighted assets (RWA) and regulatory capital under the Foundation and Advanced IRB approaches using LGD as a key input
- Implement IFRS 9 lifetime LGD estimates for stage classification and expected credit loss (ECL) provisioning
- Design and execute back-testing and benchmarking exercises to validate LGD model performance and challenge model outputs
- Identify key sources of model risk in LGD estimation and apply best-practice governance and documentation standards
- Communicate LGD model assumptions, limitations, and results clearly to senior management, auditors, and regulators
Course Modules
Module 1: Foundations of Credit Risk: The Expected Loss Framework
- The credit risk landscape: sources, types, and consequences of credit loss
- The expected loss equation: PD × LGD × EAD unpacked
- Differences between expected loss, unexpected loss, and economic capital
- Regulatory versus accounting treatments of credit risk
- Overview of Basel III and IFRS 9 frameworks and their LGD requirements
- How LGD interacts with pricing, provisioning, and capital allocation decisions
Module 2: Understanding Default: Definitions, Triggers, and Data
- Regulatory definition of default under Basel III Article 178
- Past-due, unlikeness-to-pay, and technical default — identifying and classifying events
- Building a default history database: data fields, cleaning, and quality checks
- Default rate calculation: cohort analysis versus hazard rate approaches
- Challenges of low-default portfolios and sparse data environments
- Linking default definitions to recovery tracking and LGD observation windows
Module 3: Loss Given Default — Concepts, Types, and Drivers
- Economic LGD versus accounting write-off: key distinctions
- Workout LGD: the cash flow recovery model and net present value approach
- Market LGD: using post-default trading prices and bond spreads
- Implied market LGD: deriving estimates from credit default swap (CDS) spreads
- Key drivers of LGD: collateral, seniority, industry, borrower size, and jurisdiction
- The LGD distribution: why LGD is bimodal and what this means for modelling
Module 4: Collateral Valuation and Recovery Process Analysis
- Types of collateral and their impact on LGD: real estate, financial assets, guarantees, and receivables
- Haircut methodologies and supervisory versus internal haircut tables
- Valuing collateral at time of default versus at time of recovery
- Recovery process mapping: workout, legal, and out-of-court resolution paths
- Recovery timing and the critical role of the discount rate in NPV calculations
- Post-recovery costs: legal fees, administration, and their inclusion in LGD
Module 5: LGD Estimation Methodologies and Segmentation
- Segmentation strategies: product type, collateral class, geography, and borrower segment
- Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression for LGD modelling: assumptions and limitations
- Tobit and beta regression models for bounded LGD distributions
- Decision tree and scorecard-based LGD segmentation approaches
- Treatment of incomplete workouts: cure rates, re-defaults, and right-censoring
- Selecting and justifying the reference data period for LGD model development
Module 6: Downturn LGD and Through-the-Cycle Calibration
- Why regulators require downturn LGD: the procyclicality problem
- Identifying economic downturns and linking them to observed LGD deterioration
- Methodologies for deriving downturn LGD: historical conditioning and add-on approaches
- Through-the-cycle (TTC) versus point-in-time (PIT) LGD calibration: trade-offs and use cases
- EBA guidelines on downturn LGD estimation: key requirements and implementation steps
- Sensitivity analysis: how downturn assumptions move RWA and capital ratios
Module 7: IRB Capital Calculation Using LGD
- Foundation IRB (F-IRB) versus Advanced IRB (A-IRB): when institutions use supervisor-supplied versus internal LGD
- The Basel III IRB risk weight formula: inputs, outputs, and worked examples
- Correlation parameters and maturity adjustment in corporate and retail exposures
- Calculating risk-weighted assets (RWA) step-by-step using PD, LGD, and EAD
- Capital floors and the output floor under Basel III finalisation (Basel IV)
- Using LGD in economic capital models and RAROC-based pricing frameworks
Module 8: IFRS 9 Expected Credit Loss and Lifetime LGD
- IFRS 9 ECL model architecture: three-stage classification and measurement
- Differences between 12-month ECL and lifetime ECL — and the role of LGD in each
- Forward-looking LGD: incorporating macroeconomic scenarios and probability weights
- Mapping Basel LGD estimates to IFRS 9 LGD: key adjustments and overlays
- Collective versus individual assessment of credit loss — treatment of homogeneous portfolios
- Governance of ECL model overlays, management adjustments, and post-model judgements
Module 9: Model Validation, Back-Testing, and Benchmarking
- Model validation principles: conceptual soundness, data quality, and discriminatory power
- Back-testing LGD models: mean absolute error, RMSE, and bias ratio metrics
- Rank-ordering and concentration tests for LGD model performance
- Benchmarking internal LGD estimates against industry surveys and regulatory benchmarks
- Designing a structured model validation report: findings, ratings, and remediation actions
- On-going monitoring: triggers for model recalibration and annual review obligations
Module 10: Model Risk Governance, Documentation, and Regulatory Communication
- The model risk management lifecycle: development, approval, use, and retirement
- Documentation standards for LGD models: methodology papers, data books, and validation reports
- Materiality assessment and model tiering for proportionate governance
- Preparing for regulatory model review: what supervisors look for in IRB applications
- Managing model limitations and overlays: disclosure to boards, auditors, and regulators
- Building a credit risk model inventory and embedding LGD governance into the ICAAP
Requirements & Prerequisites
Participants should have a working knowledge of financial statements, basic credit analysis principles, and how bank lending products are structured. Familiarity with Excel-based financial modelling and a basic understanding of statistics — including regression concepts — is strongly recommended. Prior exposure to banking regulation or risk management frameworks such as Basel or IFRS 9 is helpful but not required, as the course introduces regulatory context from first principles.
Training Methodology
- Worked numerical exercises using realistic loan portfolio datasets to build PD, LGD, and EAD estimates from scratch in Excel
- Case study analysis of real-world default and recovery events across retail mortgage, corporate, SME, and unsecured lending portfolios
- Regulatory document walkthroughs — participants annotate and interpret key sections of Basel III IRB guidelines and IFRS 9 application guidance
- Model-building workshops where participants construct and calibrate a segmented LGD model, then test its sensitivity to key assumptions
- Back-testing simulation exercises in which participants apply validation metrics (Gini, RMSE, bias tests) to pre-built model outputs and write a structured challenge memo
- Facilitated peer-review sessions where small groups critique each other's collateral valuation and recovery timing assumptions
- Scenario stress-testing exercises linking LGD estimates to macroeconomic downturn scenarios and calculating the resulting capital impact
- Structured reflection at the close of each day, prompting participants to map new learning to a specific challenge or model gap in their own institution
Organisational Benefits
- Stronger regulatory capital adequacy through more accurate IRB and standardised approach LGD inputs
- Reduced provisioning volatility by embedding robust, cycle-adjusted LGD estimates into IFRS 9 ECL models
- Improved lending decisions supported by a clearer understanding of expected loss and risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC)
- Enhanced model governance and audit-readiness through standardised LGD documentation and validation practices
- Greater confidence in engaging with prudential supervisors, external auditors, and rating agencies on credit risk methodology
- Reduced regulatory risk and potential capital add-ons by demonstrating sound internal model practices
- Upskilled risk teams capable of independently building, updating, and challenging LGD models without reliance on external vendors
- Cross-functional alignment between credit, finance, and compliance teams on credit risk measurement standards
Where Is Credit Risk Measurement and Loss Given Default (LGD) Training Offered?
This course runs in-person across: Dubai, Pretoria, Abuja, Addis Ababa, Nairobi, Zanzibar, Kisumu, Arusha, Nakuru, Kigali, Cape Town, Accra, Naivasha, Lagos, Mombasa, Riyadh, Johannesburg, Kampala, Dar es Salaam, plus Live Virtual (online) cohorts. Browse live dates for your city below.
Upcoming Schedules
| Location | Format | Dates | Price |
| Live Virtual |
Online |
19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 |
KES 80,000 |
| Live Virtual |
Online |
24 Oct 2026 – 15 Nov 2026 |
KES 80,000 |
| Dubai, United Arab Emirates |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 4,100 |
| Pretoria, South Africa |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 3,300 |
| Abuja, Nigeria |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 2,800 |
| Addis Ababa, Ethiopia |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 2,400 |
| Nairobi, Kenya |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
KES 115,000 |
| Zanzibar, Tanzania |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 2,500 |
| Kisumu, Kenya |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
KES 120,000 |
| Arusha, Tanzania |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
USD 2,100 |
| Nakuru, Kenya |
In-Person |
26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 |
KES 120,000 |
| Zanzibar, Tanzania |
In-Person |
2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026 |
USD 2,500 |
| Dubai, United Arab Emirates |
In-Person |
2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026 |
USD 4,100 |
| Nairobi, Kenya |
In-Person |
2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026 |
KES 105,000 |
| Nakuru, Kenya |
In-Person |
2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026 |
KES 120,000 |
+227 more dates — view live schedule →
Frequently Asked Questions
Do I need to be a quantitative specialist to benefit from this course?
No. While the course covers quantitative modelling techniques, it is designed for finance and risk professionals with a solid grounding in credit analysis and basic statistics. Facilitators explain all modelling concepts step by step, and the Excel-based exercises are structured so that participants build understanding progressively without requiring advanced programming skills.
Will this course cover IFRS 9 provisioning as well as Basel capital requirements?
Yes. The programme dedicates a full module to IFRS 9 expected credit loss modelling, including forward-looking LGD, stage classification, and the reconciliation of IFRS 9 LGD estimates with Basel IRB parameters. Participants will understand both frameworks and the practical differences between them.
Is a certificate issued upon completion?
Yes. Participants who attend the full programme and complete the daily exercises will receive a TrainingComplex Certificate of Completion in Credit Risk Measurement and Loss Given Default (LGD). This certificate is suitable for inclusion in professional development portfolios and regulatory training records.
How practical are the exercises — will we work with real data?
All exercises use realistic, anonymised loan portfolio datasets constructed to reflect actual banking situations across retail mortgage, corporate, SME, and unsecured lending segments. Participants build and test LGD models in Excel during the course, leaving with working templates they can adapt for their own institutions.
Is this course relevant for institutions in emerging markets where recovery data is scarce?
Absolutely. The programme specifically addresses low-default portfolio challenges, sparse data environments, and the use of external benchmarks and expert judgement overlays — issues that are particularly acute in African, Middle Eastern, and other emerging market contexts. The case studies include examples from development finance and microfinance portfolios.
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